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  • What Are Trend Following Indicators?

    Posted by Gery Lermann on February 11th, 2010 and filed under commodities | No Comments »

    Trend following indicators is a way that many people invest in stocks. It’s a strategy that is used which will use long-term moves on how markets have done in the past to figure out what to trade and what to keep.

    Using this method will be a way that people will know how and when to invest in the right stocks. Which will offer the best chance at profits, and how well they have done in the past will be figured into that strategy.

    Traders aren’t forecasting how the market is going to flow, but they will follow a set trend that has been going on. Looking into three components to figure out the strategy. Price of the stock currently, market volatility and equity levels. They will know before getting the stock how much will be bought and how much they will spend on it.

    Not a method that will be used on new stock that hasn’t yet established any trend, but on those old standbys that have been around for a while. Price is always a top consideration when using trend following indicators. When a trader is using this method they will try and use indicators to figure ups and downs in the market.

    Also how much will be traded during the trend will need to be figured out as well. If the market is at high volatility though trading will most likely be reduced in order to cut the losses on the trades. If you use trend following indicators, price and time are always going to be very important.

    With trend following indicators you should be able to answer the following questions. When you enter the market, how many shares you will trade at a time. Money that will be risked for each trade, how will you cut your losses on a trade, and what to do when the trade becomes profitable?

    Find more on trend trading strategies and trend following course.

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    Don’t Buy Gold or Silver for an Investment!

    Posted by JT Philips on January 25th, 2010 and filed under commodities | No Comments »

    As you are currently well aware – the economy and markets are cyclic. In the past decade the value of metal based commodities have soared. The price increase for gold has been phenomenal.

    Precious metals have gained tremendous value over the last few decades – but it has not been in a straight line.

    The cost of living coupled with low inflation over the same time period has resulted in gold being a poor investment. The investment would have been like treading water. The investment in gold would have essentially stagnated over the past 30 years compared to your average stock gains. Precious metals investing over the past 30 years has not yielded returns anywhere near those returned by the stock market.

    Over the centuries gold and silver have served as a basis of exchange because they have intrinsic value. Gold and silver represent commodities whose value can stand the test of time.

    People tend to fall back into gold and silver investments during times of economic crisis.For example, from 1972 to 1980, when inflation peaked in the double-digit range stocks and bonds plummeted while gold and silver prices exploded by more than 500 percent. As you may have well noticed gold has skyrocketed again during this latest economic crisis.But with the economic collapse the recently surging prices seem to be driven fear, not inflation, which is not a good basis for investment.

    Investing in gold and silver, over the long term, has not produced any significant benefit.Over the decades, gold and silver investments hardly match the cost of living increases.On the other hand, investing in precious metals is better than keeping cash under a mattress. The best returns come not from gold and silver but stocks, bonds and real estate. If you truly want to invest in gold and silver, then you can earn a better long-term return by investing in a mutual fund of stocks of gold and precious metals companies.

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    Trader Reveals How To Make Money In The Stock Market Day Trading On Mondays and Thursdays

    Posted by admin on December 19th, 2009 and filed under commodity online trading | No Comments »

    There is something astonishing about two days of the week that can make you a good amount of capital day trading provided you identify it.

    The pattern is so difficult to compute that most traders need never heard about Mondays and Thursdays. In truth, the only way I was able to spot this pattern was by going over 10 years worth of historic data.

    To determine a pattern like this, you have to gauge the standard deviation from the mean to notice if any pattern or anomaly whatsoever emerges. You then need to do this in both bull and bear markets.

    The outcome of analyzing 10 years worth of numbers reveals a small pattern on Mondays and Thursdays that you can make use of to make a lot of cash day trading.

    Excellent Monday Tactic For Making Big Profit

    If you had to pick just one day to buy, Monday should be that day if you are in a bull market.

    Not every Mondays present fantastic buying opportunities, so you ought to be careful when looking to buy on a Monday. First, it helps if you are already in a bull market. This is not challenging to decide. Second, you would like the latest market action, as measured by the one- and five-day strength index, to be robust, with a percentage over 50. Third, you want the market to reveal strength at the close of trading on the preceding trading day, commonly a Friday. If the previous day closes on or near the low, odds are the market will go on lower on Monday rather than going higher. The one-day strength index will provide you a good interpretation on how bullish the market was on the previous day. Last, you want a steady-to-higher open to take place on the Monday buying day. A sharply higher or sharply lower open on Monday presents actual troubles. With a sharply higher open, the marketplace may possibly spend the rest of the day trading down to more realistic levels. With a sharply lower open, the market may go on to sell off the rest of the day. A higher open is always good for buyers.

    Superb Thursday Tactic For Making Big Profit

    Thursdays tend to be the weakest day of the week in bull markets. Through bear markets, Thursdays have a tendency to rally as the countertrend day.

    The ideal pattern for selling on Thursday is after two or three days of rising prices-the classic 3-day pattern. The ultimate pattern for buying on Thursday is after two or three days of declining prices.

    I think you found valuable this piece of writing on day trading and timing the stock market through days of the week. Nearly all traders do not realize how to precisely use the MACD. To discover more go to how to use MACD and for more useful stock trading secrets go to see how to make money in the stock market

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    Terrific Short Term Stock Trading During Distinctive Times Of The Year

    Posted by admin on December 15th, 2009 and filed under commodity online trading | No Comments »

    This time, the cyclic market trends were a bust. Nearly everyone just did not pan out.

    However, that really is nothing novel. If you do a 25 year graphic representation on the major indices, you will observe that a few years just don’t work. However what you will also understand is that in the majority of years, they typically do.

    What does this suggest for us going into 2010?

    It means that 2009 was one of those atypical years where seasonality did not work meaning that in 2010, seasonality will in all probability work once more.

    The opening cyclic trend will be upon us in just a couple of weeks, so let’s do a fast review.

    The stock market has rather consistent and dependable cyclic trends. You should know the most well-known seasonal trends, because this knowledge can prevent you from being excessively bullish at a cyclic peak or excessively bearish at a seasonal low.

    In a nutshell, the general trends support a decline in early January (perhaps profit-taking selling), followed by a mid-January rally. By late March or early April the market often reaches a peak, followed by a changing market in mid-April, conceivably related to the April 15 tax deadline. The early summer months are regularly characterized by a midsummer rally, culminating in a market top in late July or early August. September and October are normally down months in the stock market (witness the 1929 Crash and the 1987 October decline), with the lows occurring sometime in late October (a good buying opportunity?). The trend into the end of the year is typically bullish, with the first two weeks in December characterized by a vigorous market. The Christmas holidays are normally calm, with choppy and thin markets. There are continually exceptions to these valid trends, but the general pattern is extremely dependable.

    Print this article if you have to and stick it near your trading screen. I reason that because 2009 was a rare bust for a good number of the recurring trends discussed above, 2010 will be an on year. One of the main errors amateur traders make is that they get sniped by more superior fighters who know the seasonality trends.

    To uncover the precise method of how a professional stock trader has made more than 100 million look at short term stock trading and for a lot of significant stock trading lessons, remarks, picks and a bundle more, see how to trade stocks

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    Inverse ETFs

    Posted by Ahmad Hassam on November 21st, 2009 and filed under options on futures | No Comments »

    A short ETF returns the inverse of the index it is linked to. For example, the ProShares Short Dow 30 ETF (DOG) will return the inverse of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on daily basis. If the DJIA falls by 2%, DOG rises by 2% and if the DJIA rises by 2%, DOG will fall by 2%.

    Short ETFs are also known as Inverse ETFs or Bear ETFs. During the past few years, the number of Short ETFs has risen dramatically. Short ETFs not only cover the major stock indices like the S&P 500 or the DJIA but also different sectors like the energy, utilities or technology. You will even find Inverse ETFs on currencies now.

    Most of the ETFs are designed around some market index. ETF shares trade like ordinary stock shares. You can buy them. You can sell them unlike the mutual funds that can only be sold at the end of the day. The ProShares UltraShort Dow 30 ETF (DXD) rises 2% when the DJIA falls by 1%. So you can even find leverage short ETFs. A leveraged short ETF gives the trader leverage without the use of margins.

    Over the years, short ETFs have risen in popularity with the investors and hedge funds. Short ETFs give you an excellent opportunity to profit from the volatility in the market and the major indices.

    Before the introduction of short ETFs, a trader had to actually short sell stocks to take advantage of a market drop. Short ETFs are a great product as they have created new opportunities for traders.

    Traders are not allowed to sell short stocks or ETFs in their retirement accounts. In the past if the market was dropping, the trader had to go against the trend and buy or else move into cash or fixed income. Short and leveraged ETFs provide traders with new opportunities.

    Ever wanted to trade international stocks? Emerging markets give a higher rate of return as compared to the mature economies. China is one example that garners a lot of attention. The Shanghai Index in China rose 100% in 2007. In the first quarter of 2008, the Shanghai Index was down 35%. ETFs also provide you with the opportunity to take advantage of the global market swings.

    In the past, traders who wanted to benefit from the fall of Chinese stocks could only short Chinese stocks that were traded in US Stock Exchanges. The ProShares family of ETFs introduced the Ultrashort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ETF (FXP). Now if you want to trade the fall of Chinese stocks, you can trade FXP ETF.

    Assume you have a portfolio of $100,000 composed of 75% stocks and 25% money market fixed income. As a long term investor you can take advantage of short ETFs to hedge your portfolio position.

    As a long term trader, you are interested in the long term forecast for the market but still do worry about the short term trend in the market as it has the potential of wiping out your portfolio. The forecast of the market for the next six months is not good. But you are reluctant to sell your stocks due to tax reasons. Suppose the market falls by 10%. Your stock portfolio falls by 7.5% assuming the same ratio between the market and your portfolio.

    Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try This Cash Printing Forex Signal Service From Heaven! Learn Swing Trading! Visit the Uber Article Directory to get a totally unique version of this article for reprint.

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    Trading System Essentials (Part II)

    Posted by Ahmad Hassam on November 21st, 2009 and filed under options on futures | No Comments »

    Market conditions keep on changing. What works now may not work in the future. What had worked in the past may not work anymore. It is very difficult to develop a trading system that can adjust to different market conditions. In simple terms, it is very difficult to adjust a mechanical trading system to a different market conditions if you are not the author of that system.

    So how do you cater for this fact that markets keep on changing all the time. For that, you will need to develop a diversified trading system consisting of a set of trading systems that can be used as a basis for a specific trade tactics at any given moment.

    Such a diversified trading system can be used according to a trader’s free choice and considering the individual situation. Trading systems based on these principles can be complex and adjustable.

    Such a diversified trading system can be optimized for current market condition and the trader’s resources at any given moment. This optimization can provide an effective evaluation of market shits and trends at any given time.

    The only thing necessary is to find the tools for the probability evaluation for the trading system with maximum accuracy and minimum time. The optimal solution could be a diversified trading system based on the natural market features and regularities. A trading system needs to be evaluated by calculating its win ratio over let’s say at least 100 trades.

    Mechanical trading is good in the sense that it helps you avoid emotions in making your trading decisions. Emotions are your biggest enemy in trading. Fear and greed will always force you to make wrong trading decisions. Developing a mechanical trading system with a set of trading rules that you can apply rigorously in making your trading decisions in any market condition should be your goal. Have you ever heard about the turtle trading experiment?

    If you have a good trading system, you can become a highly successful trader. Turtle trading experiment was conducted to demonstrate the fact that it’s not the trader that matters; it’s the trading system that matters.

    You must have played different sports in your life. As a young person you must have learned that just by observing good players play their games you could improve your level of playing tennis, golf, badminton, swimming or for that matter any type of game. Just by looking and observing at good players, you can improve your game. What you need to do is learn from successful traders and try to copy their trading systems.

    The same principle applies in trading. Have you heard about the Surefire Trading Challenge? Surefire trading challenge is held after every few months. The winner gets a cash prize of $5000. In every tournament thousands of forex traders take part from all over the globe. The most interesting thing is that most of these traders are part time traders and not professional traders. The top traders have an ROI of almost like 2000-3000% in one month. You need to take a look at these 25 forex trading systems that had emerged on the top of more than 5000 traders who had taken part in a recent forex trading championship. The best forex trading system had an ROI of almost 3000% in one month. By observing the trading systems of successful traders you can also develop your own highly successful trading system.

    Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Discover a Revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System. Read about a Forex Trading System with an ROI of 3000% per month. Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service



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