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	<title>Trade Commodity Futures &#187; p</title>
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	<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info</link>
	<description>Learn How to Trade Commodity Futures</description>
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		<title>Choose the Right Forex Dealer (Part I)</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/choose-the-right-forex-dealer-part-i</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/choose-the-right-forex-dealer-part-i#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Aug 2009 13:23:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/choose-the-right-forex-dealer-part-i</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Almost 90% of the traders in currency markets are speculators. Most of the investors start <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> day trading as a speculating venture to make capital gains. Once you have made the positive decision to start currency trading, you need to choose the right <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker. The right choice will greatly influence the success of the whole enterprise.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Almost 90% of the traders in currency markets are speculators. Most of the investors start <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> day trading as a speculating venture to make capital gains. Once you have made the positive decision to start currency trading, you need to choose the right <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker. The right choice will greatly influence the success of the whole enterprise.</p>
<p>These days, the market is overcrowded with companies and banks offering online brokerage services to individual traders and investors to access the currency markets. It is not easy to make the right choice without a certain set of criteria. These criteria will mostly depend on the interests, preferences and means of each individual trader depending on his/her trading strategies and tactics.</p>
<p>What is the best method to choose the right <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker? Compose a list of questions to ask the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker before making a final decision. The following are some of the suggested questions. You should ask the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker these questions before making a final decision.</p>
<p>What is the amount of the interday and overnight margin and corresponding leverage? Many good online <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> brokers offer margin between 2-5%. They provide leverage ranging from 20:1 to 50:1. Higher margin requirement means lower investment efficiency. </p>
<p>However, beware of lower margin. It means that most of the time the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker will be against you as a trader and will do everything possible to prevent you from winning. You will face many trading problems with such a broker. It will become difficult for you to work under such conditions.</p>
<p>What is the minimum contract size offered? Now days, the standard contract size is a $100,000 lot. This contract size is quite affordable. This contract size also allows small individual investors to participate in currency speculation. It allows for reasonably effective money management with limited capital. </p>
<p>What are the requirements of minimum deposit? The investment and financial means of traders differ. It is common that many new traders dont have sufficient funds to open an account. In my opinion, the optimal minimum amount is $10,000 with 2% margin requirement. I think $10,000 is the required minimum amount corresponding to the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> market conditions.</p>
<p>What are the terms of setting and executing stop and limit orders by the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> broker? The ideal condition should be the execution of the stop and limit orders at the fixed price. This should be regardless of the market conditions, its speed and its direction. Some <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> brokers provide this type of execution. Other brokers reserve the right to fulfill an order with slippage under unsteady market conditions mostly defined by the broker themselves. </p>
<p>The value of slippage depends on the current state of the market. It can fluctuate from a few pips to tens of pips. Although it is practically impossible to arbitrate the price received from the broker during the transaction. The slippage creates favorable conditions for the abuse of the trader by the broker.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/05/learn-forex-nitty-gritty.html">Learn Forex</a> Nitty Gritty. Develop your own <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/05/forex-trading-system.html">Forex Trading System</a>.</div>
</div>
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		<title>Following Gold</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/following-gold</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/following-gold#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 18:01:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/following-gold</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Gold is the ultimate global currency. At one time US Dollar used to be pegged to gold. But with the collapse of the Bretton Woods System, US Dollar was unpegged from gold.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Gold is the ultimate global currency. At one time US Dollar used to be pegged to gold. But with the collapse of the Bretton Woods System, US Dollar was unpegged from gold. </p>
<p>Now US Dollar is only backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government.  Most of the currencies in the world are free floating now. Many countries are also purchasing gold in the open markets as a hedge of their foreign reserves most of which are in US Dollar. In the present financial crisis with the global economy in recession, many investors are trying to take refuge in gold as the ultimate safe haven of their wealth from financial turmoil. </p>
<p>The Australian Dollar is known for its strong correlation with gold prices. Most of this is due to the amount of gold that Australia produces and exports. US Dollar has an inverse relationship with gold prices. When gold prices rise, US Dollar falls in value. This causes the currency pair AUD/USD to rise in value.</p>
<p>The opposite is also true. When US Dollar gains value, gold usually loses value and the pair AUD/USD depreciates. So when gold prices are rising, we can execute long trades on AUD/USD.  Likewise, when gold falls in value, we can sell short AUD/USD currency pair. This relationship provides us with a method to take advantage of the fundamental factors that affect the currency markets. This relationship may be due to the fact that gold is considered to be the ultimate safe haven of their wealth by investors in times of financial crisis. </p>
<p>We now know that AUD/USD pair reacts strongly to gold prices. How do you follow gold in currency trading? We will trade AUD/USD following gold.  You should use RSI (Relative Strength Index) as the technical indicator to trigger the trade. If you have read the previous article on how to follow oil in currency trading, I had talked about using the CCI (Commodity Channel Index) to trade USD/CAD pair.</p>
<p>Why is that we are now using RSI instead of CCI when both gold and oil are commodities. It all comes down to how quickly the two indicators react to volatility. CCI gives a quicker signal which is good for relatively less volatile pairs. On the other hand, RSI gives slower signals. This is ideal for more volatile pairs like AUD/USD.</p>
<p>Use a moving average to confirm if gold is in an uptrend or a downtrend.  Use the seven periods RSI on AUD/USD chart!   Watch when it enters one of its reversal zones, then move back out of the reversal zone in the same direction as the gold is trending.</p>
<p>Enter a long trade on AUD/USD if the gold prices are rising and the RSI is crossing back above the 30 line. On the other hand, enter a short trade on AUD/USD pair if the gold prices are declining and the RSI is crossing below the 70 line.</p>
<p>You should set a limit order of 200 pips. You should also put a stop loss order of 50 pips for the trade. This risk to reward ratio is good and is  (=50/200). The chances are you are going to make $2000 profit (200 pips is equal to $2000 on a standard lot) if the trade goes as you had anticipated. And if the trade does not go in your favor you should be prepared for a $500 loss (500 pips equal $500 on a standard lot). It is not uncommon to have a trade go against you.  Only to find yourself right back in trade that goes your way after sometime.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Discover A Revolutionary New <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/03/forex-megadroid-robot.html">Forex Robot</a>. Develop your own <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/05/forex-trading-system.html">Forex Trading System</a>.</div>
</div>
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		<title>Develop Trading Discipline</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/develop-trading-discipline</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/develop-trading-discipline#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Aug 2009 14:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/develop-trading-discipline</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Develop trading discipline in yourself if you want to become a successful trader in the long run. In a trading session, lets you come to a point in your market analysis when you have no confidence on the accurate direction of the market forecast. Always remember, a lost opportunity is better than lost capital. Choose not to trade.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Develop trading discipline in yourself if you want to become a successful trader in the long run. In a trading session, lets you come to a point in your market analysis when you have no confidence on the accurate direction of the market forecast. Always remember, a lost opportunity is better than lost capital. Choose not to trade. </p>
<p>Wait for the market conditions to become clearer. Increase the probability of success by trading when the trade setups are strong. This is far more important in <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trading than in stock trading. The <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> markets move a lot. </p>
<p>You need to learn that high leverage will give you the opportunity to make a lot more money much quicker. But in case you go wrong, currency markets are ruthless. You can get your account wiped out. You dont see an opportunity clearly. Try to sit on the sidelines. You dont have to trade every time. Wait for the market conditions to become clearer. You should learn to be a patient trader. Wait for the market to come to you. </p>
<p>You should understand that leverage is a wonderful money making tool. It is the key to making money in the currency markets as no other markets allow high leverage that this market allows. A leverage of 100:1 means that for a $1000 deposit, you can trade $100,000. This huge amount of leverage gives you the opportunity to make the kind of returns that you want.</p>
<p>However, it also has the potential of making you lose some or all of your capital if you trade foolishly. Think about the credit cards. The bank lets you borrow huge sums of money on the promise that you will pay it back. </p>
<p>But in case you abuse your credit card. It can lead you into heavy debt. It can even result in bankruptcy. You should manage leverage in <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trading like you manage your credit card. You have $10,000. It does not mean that you should trade 10 lots and use all your $10,000 capital. Using all your capital in one trading session would be foolish on your part and highly risky.</p>
<p>A very effective trading method yet very conservative would be to never use leverage of more than 20% on your capital in the account. You should only trade two lots with a $10,000 capital in your account. Use good money management rules. Trade with discipline! You can grow your account realistically in a short period of time.</p>
<p>Dont forget the power of compounding. The compounding factor applied to your capital can make it grow fast. Many people want to get rich quick. They take unnecessary risks while trading thinking that a few big wins will make them rich. They dont focus on proper trading principles. You need to develop the discipline in yourself to follow simple money management rules. </p>
<p>Suppose you are trading a mini account. Start by trading one position of one tenth of a lot. You will not make much money in the beginning. The position size is only one tenth of a normal lot. But the percentage of returns will compound over time. Over time, you trade a much larger sum of money.</p>
<p>As a <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trader, you should make realistic goals. Goals that can be achieved over time! You should not use your life savings. You should never borrow money to trade. You should not use money that you would use to pay monthly utility bills. You should always trade with the money that you can afford to lose! Never ever trade with money that you cannot afford to lose! It is foolish. You should not think like a gambler. Trading is business. It is not gambling.</p>
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<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Know <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/06/swing-trading.html">Swing Trading</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>!</div>
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		<title>Learning More Technical Indicators</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/learning-more-technical-indicators</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/learning-more-technical-indicators#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 11:53:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD pronounced Mac Dee) is the difference between the 26 day and 12 day exponential moving averages. A 9 day exponential moving average called the signal line or a trigger line is plotted on top of MACD to show buy/sell opportunities.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD pronounced Mac Dee) is the difference between the 26 day and 12 day exponential moving averages. A 9 day exponential moving average called the signal line or a trigger line is plotted on top of MACD to show buy/sell opportunities.</p>
<p>Traders use MACD in three popular ways: Crossover, overbought/oversold conditions and divergences. In wide swinging markets, MACD proves most effective. When MACD falls below the signal line, the basic rule is to sell and when MACD rises above the signal line and cuts it from below, it is a buy signal.</p>
<p>MACD is also very useful in telling whether the market is overbought or oversold. When the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer moving average, it is likely the price has overextended itself and it will comeback to the realistic levels. </p>
<p>An indication that an end to the current trend may occur soon is when MACD diverges from the currency pair. A bearish divergence occurs when MACD is making new lows and the currency price fails to reach those lows. Similarly, a bullish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new highs but the currency price fails to reach those highs.</p>
<p>Momentum is an oscillator that indicates the rate of price change not the actual price level. This oscillator is the net difference between the currency pair closing price and the oldest closing price from the predetermined period. The signal is triggered when the oscillator crosses the zero line. The shorter the number of days included in the calculations, the more responsive the momentum oscillator will be to the short term price fluctuations. </p>
<p>Another important technical indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It indicates a markets current strength or weaknesses depending on where the prices close during a given period. RSI is plotted on a scale of 01-100. A buy signal is triggered when RSI moves up from the lower band above 30. Similarly, a sell signal is triggered when RSI moves down from the upper band and comes down below a level usually set at 70.</p>
<p>Rate of Change (ROC) is another version of momentum oscillator is calculated by dividing the current closing price with the oldest closing price instead of subtracting the oldest closing price from the current closing price as in the momentum oscillator. It is sometimes used.</p>
<p>One of the most popular indictors is the Volume Indicator. A movement accompanied by an increasing volume is more likely to continue in strength than a movement accompanied with decreasing volume which is likely to fade away.  It is used to show the strength of an up or down movement. </p>
<p>Many traders use volume indicator as their only technical indicator in trading. Other traders use it in conjunction with price charts and fundamental analysis like economic news and geopolitical news. It gives entry and exit signals and helps in overall trading. The Volume Indicator is a great source of confirmation. You should learn to use these technical indicators. You should become comfortable in using them. Every trader has his/her own favorite technical indicators. Use them to discern trends on different currency pairs and time intervals.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Trade <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/dow-futures.html">Dow Futures</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>.</div>
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		<title>Understand Forex Accounts</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 12:32:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Good money management is the key to your long term success in currency trading. Many people ignore this aspect of trading at their own peril. Trading discipline means using a trading system that uses good money management rules to avoid using emotions in making trading decisions.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Good money management is the key to your long term success in currency trading. Many people ignore this aspect of trading at their own peril. Trading discipline means using a trading system that uses good money management rules to avoid using emotions in making trading decisions.</p>
<p>You need to have sufficient capital in your account if you want to make meaningful profits. One of the worst blunders that currency traders can make is to trade without sufficient capital. Low capital increases your chances of getting blown out too soon. This does not mean that you should have a lot of money before you start trading. It only means that you need to have enough capital in your account in order take advantage of the movements in the currency markets. </p>
<p>Many <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> brokers fix the minimum amount required to open a standard account as $2000.  However, it is recommended by most of the professional traders that you should start with at least $2500-5000 to get good results. A trader with limited capital is always a worried trader. He is always looking to minimize losses beyond the point of realistic trading. Never ever trade live without practicing on the demo account for a few months. First, try to double your account at least three times in a row on the demo account.</p>
<p>A standard account or a regular account lets you trade a $100,000 standard lot with a $1000 deposit. This account is often also called 100k account. The broker is giving you an interest free loan of $100,000. This $1000 is kept as the margin or guarantee by the broker. This is a 1% margin. Your account should have more than $1000 if you want to trade. </p>
<p>You can change the margin account to whatever you feel comfortable with. When you open an account with the broker, you must determine what the default margin is. If you start at 2% margin, then it will cost you $2000 to trade one standard lot.</p>
<p>Many brokers offer huge leverage to the new trades. This is done to entice them to trade more. You can get a leverage of up to 400% by some brokers. Using 400% leverage means trading $400,000 with a $1000 deposit. With a small deposit you are controlling a huge amount. Be careful! You will get wiped out in a moment. Dont use more than 4% leverage while trading in the start. Too much leverage is dangerous for you. </p>
<p>I am not saying that leverage is bad. You need to know it is a double edged sword that can cut both ways. It can increase your ROI but at the same time it can wipe you out in case of a slight market move going against you. Its just that you need to understand and learn how to use leverage. You can only do so with practice and with practice and more experience; you can increase the level of leverage in your trading. </p>
<p>Mini accounts are great for newbies. You can open a mini account with a deposit of only $300. The mini account was developed to accommodate investors who were looking for diversification out of their stocks portfolios. This small dollar requirement allows many investors to participate in the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> markets who were previously unable to do so. Recently micro accounts have also been introduced. </p>
<p>One lot on a mini account means $10,000. On a mini account, you have a different lot size as compared to the standard account. You only need $50 to control a mini lot of $10,000. This is a leverage of 200%. Pip size on a mini account is also small as compared to the standard account. A pip size on the mini account is equal to $1 instead of $10 as on a standard lot. </p>
<p>A mini account is a great way for beginners to practice <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trading. If you lose 100 pips on a mini account, it means losing only $100 as compared to losing $1000 on a standard lot. You can say a mini account reduces your risk by 10%. But it also reduces the amount of profit that you can make. Start with at least $500 on a mini account.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Trade <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/dow-futures.html">Dow Futures</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>.</div>
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		<title>Learning Technical Analysis Terminology</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/learning-technical-analysis-terminology</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/learning-technical-analysis-terminology#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Aug 2009 08:58:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/learning-technical-analysis-terminology</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As a <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trader, you should learn technical analysis. You need to understand the various terms that are frequently used in Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is the study of historical and ongoing price data through charts, price patterns and chart indicators. Charts display price moves in time intervals using bars and candlesticks.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>As a <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trader, you should learn technical analysis. You need to understand the various terms that are frequently used in Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is the study of historical and ongoing price data through charts, price patterns and chart indicators. Charts display price moves in time intervals using bars and candlesticks.</p>
<p>Technical Analysis is based on a number of assumptions. The most important is that all available information is immediately impounded into the market prices of the currencies. The second assumption made is that prices always move in trends or patterns. The third assumption that is made is that history repeats itself. This means you can predict the future price action by studying the past prices.</p>
<p>Historical studies have shown that once a trend is in motion, it is most likely to continue rather than reverse it. Only a bigger force in the opposite direction can reverse a trend once set in motion. The more one studies chart patterns, the clearer it becomes that reading and interpreting chart patterns are more an art form than a skill in technical analysis. </p>
<p>Two charts are important in technical analysis. Bar charts and Candlesticks charts. Bar charts display price data in vertical lines that represents price action during a given time period. The tip at the bottom of a bar chart is the low for the period. The tip at the top is the high for the period. The open and close are represented by small horizontal dashes called tics. The tic to the left of the vertical line is the open. The tic to the right of the line is the close.</p>
<p>Candlestick charts are similar to bar charts in many ways but different in other ways. Candlestick charts were developed by Japanese rice traders. They are used extensively in technical analysis. Like the bar charts, the top of the vertical line represent the high. The bottom of the vertical line represents the low. However, the price action between the open and the close is represented differently by the use of candlestick bodies. A shaded body represents a lower closing price below a higher opening price. A hollow body represents a higher closing price above a lower opening price. </p>
<p>The price activity above and below the body is referred to as wicks or tails.  A trader may use a 3, 5, 10, 15, 30, 60 and 180 minutes charts. For swing and position trading, a trader may use a daily, weekly or a monthly chart. These charts all use the Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) or the Eastern Standard Time (EST) depending on the software that you use. But you can always adjust them according to your local time.</p>
<p>While doing technical analysis, you need to understand what are markets patterns? What are Uptrends? What are downtrends and what are sideway trends? Markets expand and retrace constantly. Market prices may continue to expand for sometimes either upward or downward. It is the nature of the markets to surge then pause and retrace. </p>
<p>Trends in currency markets make a series of peaks and troughs as they move. An uptrend consists of a series of ascending peaks and troughs. Each peak higher than the last peak! Each trough lower than the last trough! A downtrend consists of a series of descending peaks and troughs. A sidways trend consists of a series of horizontal peaks and troughs. All peaks and all troughs almost on the same level indicate a sideways market.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Trade <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/dow-futures.html">Dow Futures</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>.</div>
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		<title>Learning To Use Moving Averages &amp; Bollinger Bands</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 09 Aug 2009 20:38:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/learning-to-use-moving-averages-bollinger-bands</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Moving averages (MAs) are a very popular tool used by most of the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> traders. They are a lagging indicator of the price action. Using moving averages short and long term trends are easier to identify.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Moving averages (MAs) are a very popular tool used by most of the <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> traders. They are a lagging indicator of the price action. Using moving averages short and long term trends are easier to identify. </p>
<p>Moving averages are calculated on the users specifications and can be formatted to different style of trading and time frames. For example, if you use a 90 time frame moving average, the prices of the last 90 times frames is added together and divided by 90.</p>
<p>A moving average can be calculated based on the opening, high, low or closing price within a time frame. Since the closing price is the most important price, most traders prefer to use the closing price. There are three types of moving averages. First one is the Simple Moving Average. Second is Weighted Moving Average and the third is the exponential moving average.</p>
<p>The simple moving average as the name suggests is simply calculated by dividing the price in each time frame by the number of time frames. A weighted moving average gives more weight to the current prices as compared to the prices in the last few time frames. In an exponentially smoothed moving average, the chart is calculated gradually with less emphasis on the prices in the latter time frames. Exponential moving averages are smoother as compared to the simple.</p>
<p>Another important technical indicator is the Bollinger Bands. What are Bollinger Bands? These are bands plotted at a standard deviation above and below a moving average. The base of a band is moving average. The bands width is determined by volatility. The standard deviation is a measure of volatility so the bands are self adjusting. They widen during volatile markets and contract during less volatile periods. Bollinger bands bracket almost 90% of the market action.</p>
<p>Bollinger bands have many useful characteristics. Knowing when the prices are high and low, a trader can make rational investment decisions by comparing price action with the action of other indicators. They are curves drawn in and around the price structure. This provides relative definitions of high and low.</p>
<p>Bollinger bands can be applied to mutual funds, <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trading, futures, indices and most other types of trading. Sharp price action tends to occur as the bands tighten and as volatility lessens. A continuation of current trend is implied when the price moves outside the bands.</p>
<p>A move that originates at one band tends to go all the way to the other band. When bottoms and tops made outside the bands are followed by bottoms and tops made inside the bands, reversal of the trend is highly likely. </p>
<p>The 10% price action outside the bands is most likely going to approximate areas where prices will return to within the bands. When the bands are flat and narrow, this indicates that price volatility is lower than in previous time periods.</p>
<p>When the bands begin to flare and widen, this indicates increased volatility and start of a new strong trend. Wide bands are usually taken as an indication of a very strong move.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Trade <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/dow-futures.html">Dow Futures</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>.</div>
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		<title>Money Management in Currency Trading (Part III)</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/money-management-in-currency-trading-part-iii</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/money-management-in-currency-trading-part-iii#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2009 16:37:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/money-management-in-currency-trading-part-iii</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Perhaps the best advice that you will receive in your trading career is live to trade another day. Currency markets are volatile, brutal and unforgiving. You should learn to survive in the markets.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Perhaps the best advice that you will receive in your trading career is live to trade another day. Currency markets are volatile, brutal and unforgiving. You should learn to survive in the markets. </p>
<p>The most common factor that causes many currency traders and investors to blow up their accounts and lose all their money is greed. Once you start taking unnecessary risks you are in trouble. You want a secret formula that never loses a trade. You will start looking for the Holy Grail technical indictor or a <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> robot that can make you rich. You will believe that by discovering one, you will become rich. </p>
<p>Unfortunately there is no Holy Grail for anyone in trading. You will win and you will lose. So you must learn not to risk more than 2% of your account on one trade. Grow your account incrementally over time. Never ever be tempted to risk big making one single winning trade that can make you rich.</p>
<p>Now, know how much you are willing to risk in a single trade. I have said 2%. But if you want to be aggressive you can go up to 5%. But stay between 2-5%. Dont exceed it. On the other hand, if you are conservative, you should consider risking between 1-2% only.</p>
<p>Once you have decided on the risk you are willing to take, knowing the rest is simple. Suppose you have a $50,000 account and you decide on a risk of 2%. How much you can risk on a single trade? You can only risk (50,000) (0.02) =$1,000. This is the maximum you should risk on a single trade.</p>
<p>However, if you are trading more than one position at the same time, the amount may become higher. Lets suppose, you are in 3 trades! You risk only $1,000 per trade. So the total money at risk will be (3) (1000) =$3,000. When you have determined your risk, you are can determine the trade size.</p>
<p>Trade size is the number of contracts you purchase in any one trade. To determine the trade size, you need to first determine where you want to put your stop loss. Lets use an example to make it clear. Suppose you are willing to risk $1000 on trading EUR/USD pair. You decide on a stop loss of 50 pips. Each pip on EUR/USD pair is $10 worth. So the number of contracts that you need to trade are (1,000)/ (50) (10) =2.</p>
<p>You have taken the guesswork out of your trading once you have determined your risk level and calculated the trade size. You can sleep well now knowing how much of your money is at risk. You are going to be able to trade tomorrow, no matter what happens today.</p>
<p>Using these common money management rules will help you avoid the pitfall of losing almost all the money in your account. Learning to survive the markets and trade another day is the essence of trading. This can help your trading take the next level of profitability.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Trade <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/dow-futures.html">Dow Futures</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>.</div>
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		<title>What Are Stock Indexes? (Part II)</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/what-are-stock-indexes-part-ii</link>
		<comments>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/what-are-stock-indexes-part-ii#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2009 08:46:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Modified capitalization weighting involves adjustments to the capitalizations of the various component issues of the Nasdaq-100 index. The NDX contract at the CBOE is based on Nasdaq-100 as is the MNX. The Nasdaq-100 is a modified capitalization weighted index.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Modified capitalization weighting involves adjustments to the capitalizations of the various component issues of the Nasdaq-100 index. The NDX contract at the CBOE is based on Nasdaq-100 as is the MNX. The Nasdaq-100 is a modified capitalization weighted index.</p>
<p>Frank Russell Company one of the leading global investment consultants is also involved in performance measurement, analysis and investment management. Several Russell Indexes have become benchmarks for specific areas of investment management. Russell 2000 is the well known benchmark for small capitalization sector.</p>
<p>Russell 3000 Index as the name implies includes 3000 issues and these 3000 companies represent 98% of the investable US equities. The index is adjusted for certain factors such as cross holdings and the number of pairs in hands.</p>
<p>Russell 3000 is further split into subsets like Russell 1000 Index and it covers the top 1000 companies. It is about 92% of the value of the entire 3,000 stock index. The Russell 2000 Index is the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index. It represents about 8% of the value of Russell 3000.</p>
<p>From the business point of view, the Wall Street Journal is probably one of the most perfect business franchises. A franchise that is very hard to duplicate. The net worth of most of its readers is in seven figures. Dow Jones is the publisher of this journal.</p>
<p>DJIA became an important business barometer over the years. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) comprising 12 smokestack companies made its debut in the year 1896 and it grew to encompass 30 large industrial companies.</p>
<p>The DJIA is still one of the worlds best known stock measures and consists of 30 largest and most liquid blue chip stocks in the US. The average is maintained by the editors of the Wall Street Journal. </p>
<p>The DJIA unlike the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq-100 or Russell 3000 Indexes is a price weighted average. Recently Microsoft and Intel were added to the DJIA. The highest price issues hold the most influence over the average. </p>
<p>A 1% move in a $100 IBM stock would have a greater impact than a 1% move in a $40 Wal-Mart stock.  ETFs exit on many Dow Indexes like the DJIA, the Dow Jones Total Market Index, the Dow Jones Global Titan Index and various sector indexes.</p>
<p>Wilshire flagship index is the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index. Wilshire serves over 400 organizations in over 20 countries across the globe representing over $2 trillion in assets.</p>
<p>It has increased to 6500 issues over the years representing the increase in the number of companies in the US. It represents the broadest index for the United States equity market.</p>
<p>The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) database contains nearly 25,000 securities covering 50 countries. It calculates nearly 3,000 indexes daily and services a client base of over 1,200 worldwide. One of the advantages of MCSI and its foreign indexes is consistency.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading stocks and <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a>. Do <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/04/penny-stock-trading.html">Penny Stock Trading</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>!</div>
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		<title>Money Management in Forex Trading (Part I)</title>
		<link>http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/money-management-in-forex-trading-part-i</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 11:50:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ahmad Hassam</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/options-on-futures/money-management-in-forex-trading-part-i</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> traders start trading live too soon. They dont have any understanding and learning of good money management rules. As a <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trader, you need to develop a few good money management rules. Practice them on your demo account before starting live trading. By developing your own money management rules you are comfortable with means how much of your money you are willing to risk on one single trade. You also need to determine how many contracts per trade your risk tolerance allows?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='italic;' class='byline'>by Ahmad Hassam</div>
<p>Many <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> traders start trading live too soon. They dont have any understanding and learning of good money management rules. As a <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trader, you need to develop a few good money management rules. Practice them on your demo account before starting live trading. By developing your own money management rules you are comfortable with means how much of your money you are willing to risk on one single trade. You also need to determine how many contracts per trade your risk tolerance allows? </p>
<p>The important thing in trading is to learn how you can improve your investment results by making small changes to your trading strategies. Good money management rules can make the difference between becoming a successful investor in the long run or an unsuccessful one. </p>
<p>Have you ever played poker or watched it being played online or on TV! If you have then you will never see good poker players play all their cards on a single bet. Good poker players know that by risking only a small amount of their money on a single bet, they can win or lose but will still play the next hand. If they put everything on the table on a single bet, they will have to be 100% sure of winning, an impossible thing. You can never be 100% sure. Life is the game of probabilities. </p>
<p>You must know that currency trading is far more complicated than playing poker. You will be dealing with hundreds and hundreds of unknown variables that affect the markets what to talk of only 52 cards. You must understand and implement good money management principles in order to succeed at <a href="http://www.tradecommodityfutures.info/goto/megadroid" rel="nofollow" title="forex robot" target="_blank"  >forex</a> trading.</p>
<p>There are many pitfalls that you will run across while trading. A trader is constantly under the pressure of two emotions; greed and fear. When you win a trade, you become greedy and want to risk more to win big. You want to strike it rich in a few trades. This drives you to take more and more risk. </p>
<p>When you lose a trade, you become afraid to risk enough of your money on the next trade. Fear takes over and impairs your decision making, making you lose confidence in your judgment and decision making. Lets see how fear and greed can play havoc with your trading.</p>
<p>Lets suppose you have a run of successful trades. You are feeling overconfident and you are not satisfied by risking only 2% of your account on a single trade. You want to risk more on the trade. The more you have in a trade, the more you will make if you are right. You increase your risk to 5%, you win. You increase it further to 10%, you once again win. You finally decide to put 25% of your equity at risk on a next trade, but misfortune strikes. Your successful run comes to an end. You lose.</p>
<p>Suppose you had a $100,000 account and you had foolishly risked 25% ($25,000) on one single big trade. You desperately wanted to win but lost. Losing $25,000 means you have only $75,000 in your trading account now after your loss. How much you need to make to get back the original account balance of $100,000; you need to make $25,000 again. It means you will have to make 25,000/75,000= 33% in order to get back to the original amount. You risked 25% but now you will need to make 33% to breakeven.</p>
<p>Many investors try to risk more to recover their original loss, ending up losing more and more. Eventually those investors destroy their accounts and are out of trading forever. There are other investors who try to reduce risk even further on making a loss. Eventually they divorce themselves from any opportunity for meaningful growth in their accounts.</p>
<div class='resource'>
<div style='italic;' class='about'>About the Author:</div>
<div class='links'>Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Trade <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/2009/07/dow-futures.html">Dow Futures</a>. Learn <a href="http://forex-or-stocks.blogspot.com/">Forex Trading</a>.</div>
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